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Asia’s Manufacturing Sector Faces Headwinds as Trump 2.0 Trade Risks Loom

Asia’s manufacturing sector closed 2024 on a subdued note, with factory activity across the region showing signs of strain. The outlook for 2025 has dimmed as concerns mount over trade risks linked to the return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency and China’s continued sluggish demand.

Regional factory powerhouses struggled to regain momentum in the final months of the year, reflecting the lingering impact of global economic uncertainties. The prospect of renewed trade tensions under Trump’s leadership has further dampened business sentiment, with fears of increased tariffs and stricter trade policies clouding the outlook.

Weak Chinese demand has compounded the challenges faced by Asia’s manufacturing hubs. Despite efforts to stimulate domestic consumption and exports, the world’s second-largest economy has yet to regain the robust growth that previously fueled regional supply chains. This slowdown has left many Asian economies grappling with reduced orders and slower production cycles.

The return of Trump to the White House has introduced a fresh layer of uncertainty to global trade. Asian exporters are particularly wary of potential disruptions, with industries ranging from electronics to automobiles bracing for possible shifts in U.S. trade policies. This has added to existing challenges posed by inflation, supply chain bottlenecks, and geopolitical tensions.

As 2025 begins, Asia’s manufacturing outlook remains fragile. Analysts warn that the region’s economic recovery will depend on its ability to navigate the dual pressures of weak Chinese demand and heightened trade risks. Policymakers are expected to focus on strategies to bolster domestic markets and reduce reliance on external demand, but the road ahead is fraught with challenges.

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